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IRAN WEEKLY UPDATE — Diplomacy, Military Posture, and Internal Security
Iran is pairing Muscat-centered diplomacy with region-wide mediation to avert a strike, while warning that any U.S. action will trigger a costly, theater-wide response and showcasing deterrence capabilities
4 hours ago5 min read


“Maximum deterrence” posture in response to “maximum pressure.”
The Iranian leadership is signaling a “maximum deterrence” posture in response to “maximum pressure.”
5 days ago7 min read


Iran’s Gamble for Regime Survival
Unmasking the survival strategy behind Iran's latest wave of blunt threats. While missiles are simulated in the Gulf, a diplomatic "Chicken Game" is unfolding in Ankara to redraw the map of the Middle East.
Feb 13 min read


Iran’s Doctrine of Reciprocal Terrorist Designation
Iran is framing the EU’s IRGC terrorist designation as grounds for reciprocal legal and operational retaliation, including threats to the Strait of Hormuz and suspension of key security cooperation. As U.S. forces surge into the region, Tehran is compressing decision-time and signaling readiness for rapid kinetic escalation through “total war” rhetoric and mohareb-style delegitimization of Western and Israeli leadership.
Jan 315 min read
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