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Inside the IRGC’s "Hybrid" Playbook for Silencing Dissent
The SAS (سازمان اطلاعات سپاه) has launched a multi-dimensional "hybrid" crackdown focused on digital infiltration, cognitive manipulation, and the use of double agents to dismantle protest networks.
6 hours ago2 min read


Iran’s Priority: Regime Survival at Any Cost
Coercion, Control, and Deterrence: Iran’s Strategy to Withstand Internal Unrest and External Threats
2 days ago9 min read


Tehran’s Containment Strategy: Managing Domestic Unrest and Deterring a U.S./Israeli Strike
Iran is threatening regional escalation to deter a U.S./Israeli strike, warning neighbors they will be treated as combatants.
At home, it is crushing protests via a total blackout and framing unrest as foreign terrorism to justify repression.
Jan 146 min read


Tehran Signals Escalating Repression Despite US Warning Lines
The regime’s priority is survival: it is likely to intensify coercion while managing optics and blame to reduce the risk of a US-Israel intervention trigger.
Jan 117 min read


Rasht Erupts: Night of Fire, Mass Protest, and Deadly Crackdown
From Chants to Confrontation: Rasht’s Escalation May Mark a New Phase in the Ongoing Protest Movement.
Jan 103 min read


Iran Protest: Regime Delegitimization and Crackdown Preparations
Iran’s media has branded protesters as foreign-backed terrorists to justify a crackdown. Tehran’s prosecutor is invoking moharebeh (a death-eligible charge)
Jan 95 min read
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